Actionable Insight – Of Predictions and Preparedness (Part 2)

We are still in the early days of 2025, and year-end projections are already at risk.

The narrative around US dominance over the future of AI was challenged by a hitherto little-known company from China. The fires in California were a reminder that even the most affluent parts of the world are not immune to environmental hazards. And the drama around the mass deportation of illegal immigrants to Colombia may be a foretaste of more drama ahead.

All in all, we maintain our view that 2025 will be a year of heightened volatility.

Weekly Newsletter – 17th January , 2025

Major U.S. stock indexes rallied for the week, driven by optimism ahead of Trump’s inauguration on Monday. Investors were encouraged by strong bank earnings and positive economic data, resuscitating bets on interest rate cuts in the months ahead. The 10-year Treasury yield settled around 4.6%, while Bitcoin surpassed $100,000, boosting crypto-related stocks.

Weekly Newsletter – 10th January , 2025

A surprisingly strong US jobs report fed into fears of sustained inflation, sending Treasury yields soaring and stock prices plummeting. Interest rate cut expectations have been pared to one or two cuts in the second half of the year.

Meanwhile,  Chinese markets are bracing for the potential impact of the incoming Trump administration and weak domestic data.

Weekly Newsletter – 3rd January , 2025

The S&P 500 did not experience a Santa Claus rally this year. Historically, without the rally, the index’s January return has been 5% average full-year return, based on data since 1950. Oil prices & Chinese stock markets have been the biggest movers year to date as Trump tariffs and the Chinese response take centre stage.

Actionable Insight – Of Predictions and Preparedness (Part 1)

As we step into a new year, we take this opportunity to share the first part of our special two-part edition on market perspectives. This edition highlights Wall Street’s outlook for 2025, offering an overview of key trends and insights shaping market sentiment.

Later this month, we will follow up with the second half, where we will share our detailed view on the markets and how we plan to navigate the opportunities and challenges in alignment with our clients’ goals.

Wishing you and your loved ones a joyful, harmonious, and successful 2025.