Newsletter

US stocks initially surged following Trump’s election victory, but have since retreated, giving up most of those gains. The market’s optimism about pro-business policies has been tempered by concerns over potential inflationary effects and slower-than-expected interest rate cuts. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments suggesting a cautious approach to rate reductions, coupled with strong retail […]

U.S. stock markets experienced their best week in a year, with the S&P 500 touching 6,000 following a Republican sweep in the elections which also caused reverberations in capital markets across the globe. The Fed continued its easing cycle. On the other side of the world, Beijing announced their much-awaited fiscal spending plan to revive

US October jobs data came in well below expectations, but analysts attributed the slowdown to one-off events. Market remains convinced about a 25 bp cut by the FOMC on November 7th, while concerns about higher inflation and debt pushed 10y US Treasury yields higher. September corporate earnings were generally positive, but market reaction was mixed

Dear Mr. Investor, US stocks continued to hit new all-time highs, with the S&P 500 closing above 5,800 for the first time. Consumer prices for September came in hotter than expected, and the market is now pricing in an 89% probability of a 25 basis point reduction in November. In corporate news, Tesla’s stock fell over

In September, US nonfarm payrolls surged by 254,000, exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, leading to expectations of a more gradual cut in interest rates by the Fed. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions spiked as Iran launched missile attacks on Israel, heightening fears of a broader Middle East conflict. Global markets, including European, Indian,

Stocks ended the week on a high, boosted by a favorable inflation report and strong economic growth data. Tech stocks saw mixed results as Nvidia faced some setbacks, while Micron and Intel rose on positive earnings and funding news. Beijing introduced a plethora of measures to stimulate its economy, lifting mainland stocks. Oil prices dropped

Following a 50 basis point rate cut, the S&P 500 hit record highs, and Gold rallied to all-time highs. At current levels, the index’s valuation of 21 times forward earnings is significantly higher than the long-term average. However, near-term momentum is bullish for markets

Stocks surged despite higher than expected inflation data, driven in part by Nvidia’s 16% rise due to strong AI chip demand. Markets are split on whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points. Meanwhile, gold hit a historic high of $2,600/oz. The ECB also cut interest rates for the second

US stocks concluded a volatile month in a positive mood, buoyed by core PCE data suggesting potential interest rate cuts in September and beyond. Retailers announced weak sales guidance for the year as they continue to see a shift in spending from discretionary items to essentials. Nvidia’s shares initially dropped over 8% despite strong earnings

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates next month after more than two years of hikes aimed at controlling pandemic-driven inflation. The market reaction has been extremely bullish, with the S&P 500 adding over $4.5 trillion in market cap in three weeks, while Treasury yields fell and gold reached all-time highs. Attention is